Trucking Conditions Index Hits Lowest Point Since November 2022

Reading indicates a continued deterioration of conditions for truckers and a boon for shippers


Shippers continue to gain an edge when it comes to pricing according to recent data sets. The latest release of the Trucking Conditions Index (TCI) from freight transportation consultancy FTR, shows continued deterioration in the trucking environment.

The June reading, the latest month for which TCI data is available, came in at negative 6.29, losing ground from May’s negative 3.75 reading. The April TCI reading was negative 3.88. Both March (negative 5.83) and February (negative 5.17) were lower, but June’s reading is the worst since November 2022’s negative 7.94.

According to FTR, a TCI reading above zero represents an adequate trucking environment, with readings above 10 indicating that volumes, prices, and margins are in a good range for carriers.

FTR said May’s reading was impacted by modestly weaker conditions for carriers, as freight rates were less negative, while all other key factors deteriorated. What’s more, June marked the lowest TCI reading since November 2022.

“Based on our assessment, for-hire trucking companies have already faced the longest period of consistently unfavorable market conditions since the Great Recession,” said Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, in a statement. “We expect negative TCI readings to continue for nearly a year longer and little, if any, improvement until early 2024. As we have noted before, the challenges are not uniform as the current market is hitting small carriers much harder than larger ones, especially considering the recent upturn in diesel prices.”


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Conditions for truckers continue to deteriorate, giving shippers the upper hand in rate negotiations, according to the latest Trucking Conditions Index.
Source: Getty Images
Conditions for truckers continue to deteriorate, giving shippers the upper hand in rate negotiations, according to the latest Trucking Conditions Index.

FTR Associates is the industry leader in freight transportation forecasting. Currently our principal source of business is forecasting U.S. freight by mode of transportation, NAFTA commercial vehicle sales and production, U.S. trailer factory shipments, N.A. railcar deliveries and U.S. rail carloadings originated, intermodal loadings originated and tractor/trailer loads originated.


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